概率图模型:原理与技术,技术学习经典Thetheoryofprobabilitiesisatbottomnothingbutcommonsensereducedtocalculus;itenablesustoappreciatewithexactnessthatwhichaccuratemindsfeelwithasortofinstinctforwhichofttimestheyareunabletoaccount.PierreSimonLaplace,1819